Mesoscale Discussion 0827
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0329 PM CDT Mon May 31 2021
Areas affected...southeast New Mexico and west Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 229...
Valid 312029Z - 312200Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 229
SUMMARY...Clusters of severe thunderstorms will persist into the
evening. Very large hail is the primary threat. However, a couple of
tornadoes will be possible.
DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue to develop this afternoon across
the region within a sheared, unstable, and weakly-capped
environment. The strongest thunderstorm appear to be across Pecos
County, TX, with additional intense clusters across Reeves and
Loving Counties, TX. Very large hail will be possible in both areas
in the near term. With time, a southward surging outflow boundary,
currently across Reagan, Upton, and Crane Counties, will interact
with both supercell clusters. This interaction may result in an
uptick in tornado potential.
Elsewhere, the severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
Watch #229 with large hail the primary threat in the short term.
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