• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0818

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon May 31 02:22:36 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 310222
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 310222=20
    TXZ000-NMZ000-310345-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0818
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0922 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021

    Areas affected...portions of far southeast New Mexico into west
    Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 227...

    Valid 310222Z - 310345Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 227
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
    Watch 227. Large hail may continue with the more discrete storms as
    damaging gust potential increases with line segments that develop.

    DISCUSSION...Multicellular clusters and transient supercells (some
    with a history of producing marginally severe hail along the TX/NM
    border) are ongoing across western portions of Severe Thunderstorm
    Watch 227. Some severe hail may continue to accompany the stronger,
    more discrete storms for a couple more hours given the availability
    of 1000+ J/kg MLCAPE across the Cap Rock/Rolling Plains. Though
    convective inhibition has been slowly increasing with the onset of
    nocturnal cooling, cold pool mergers and resultant upscale growth
    may compensate to support a damaging gust threat through the
    evening.

    ..Squitieri/Guyer.. 05/31/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!v6L1vTS3VZWdevGTScum7HcaEKtEMoCfqajUVi0cDGqDRt967cfiz-J6huBV9DZdjBIwlJ-Z$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

    LAT...LON 32620457 33810314 34320222 34580092 34380017 33889996
    33230010 32640044 32330110 32150299 32620457=20



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