• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0815

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun May 30 23:44:06 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 302344
    SPC MCD 302343=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 0815
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0643 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021

    Areas affected...portions of central into southeast New Mexico

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 227...

    Valid 302343Z - 310045Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 227

    SUMMARY...At least an isolated severe threat may linger across
    portions of central, eastern, and southeastern New Mexico for at
    least a couple more hours. Damaging gusts and large hail are the
    main concerns. The best chance for large hail and perhaps a brief
    tornado will be with the southernmost storms.

    DISCUSSION...Multiple multicellular clusters as well as discrete and semi-discrete supercells persist across Severe Thunderstorm Watch
    #227. A few of the stronger storms from Chaves to Lea Counties, NM
    have a history of producing severe hail and a couple of tornadoes
    over the past hour or so. These storms have access to the best
    instability (up to 1000 J/kg MLCAPE), and are expected to have the
    most robust severe threat across eastern NM through this evening.
    Storms farther northwest have been more numerous in nature, with
    gradual convective overturning of the environment noted via 23Z
    mesoanalysis. Still, an instance or two of hail/wind may accompany
    these storms over the next few hours.

    ..Squitieri/Guyer.. 05/30/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!oK1yJbcLhm-vo6wCyX54e6GZf1yVc_1AM0iMyykWR_Bd8ANRYrnW7nypWIc-rT9qVgsnts9u$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 33020467 33810558 34540618 35020595 35160521 34970422
    34640354 34350324 33890316 33450318 33130351 33020467=20

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