• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0808

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun May 30 07:01:01 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 300700
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 300700=20
    TXZ000-NMZ000-300800-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0808
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0200 AM CDT Sun May 30 2021

    Areas affected...Portions of far northeastern NM into the TX
    Panhandle

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 300700Z - 300800Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat continues early this morning
    across part of the Texas Panhandle within extended Severe
    Thunderstorm Watch 224. Damaging wind gusts remain the primary
    threat. Additional downstream watch issuance is unlikely.

    DISCUSSION...A small, slow-moving cluster of storms has recently
    moved eastward from NM into the western TX Panhandle. A measured
    wind gust of 86 mph was recorded at a West TX Mesonet site in Oldham
    County near the NM/TX state line with this convection. Recent radar
    imagery from KFDX and KAMA show decreasing intensity of the
    reflectivity core aloft. Still, a damaging wind risk remains
    apparent with this activity in the short term as a 30-35 kt
    low-level jet feeds into the inflow region of the cluster. The
    airmass downstream appears only marginally supportive of
    severe/intense storms, as MLCAPE decreases with eastward extent
    across the TX Panhandle and MLCIN strengthens. Current expectations
    are for the ongoing activity to weaken over the next couple of
    hours, and additional downstream watch issuance to the south/east of
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch 224 is unlikely.

    ..Gleason/Grams.. 05/30/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!vvn4Um6hJLQx10jQCWBy8zr42vyIU09_d2mLqE3keKoza8GNUTHVCE2Tbq2B1Tn2hNSEDcPX$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...ABQ...

    LAT...LON 35260337 35440312 35760280 35810219 35710170 35250151
    34670154 34340201 34370292 34940340 35260337=20



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