• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0795

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat May 29 02:12:50 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 290212
    SPC MCD 290212=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 0795
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0912 PM CDT Fri May 28 2021

    Areas affected...Parts of southeastern/east central New Mexico and
    adajcent western Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 219...220...222...

    Valid 290212Z - 290345Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 219, 220,
    222 continues.

    SUMMARY...An organized convective system may begin to undergo rapid
    weakening as it progresses east of the southern New Mexico border
    area within the next hour or so, but strong surface gusts may be
    slower to diminish along remnant southeastward advancing outflow.

    DISCUSSION...A well-defined MCV has developed, with 50+ kt
    southeasterly rear inflow to its south, progressing southeast of the
    Clovis, NM vicinity, and will approach the Lubbock, TX area through
    03-04Z. This is within a larger-scale organized convective system
    which has evolved, southwestward to the lee of Sacramento Mountains,
    and now crossing the southern New Mexico/west Texas border area. As
    this activity continues to propagate east-southeastward, based on
    objective instability analyses, it will begin to encounter
    considerably less unstable inflow, and a fairly rapid diminishing
    trend may commence. However, strong winds probably will be a bit
    slower to diminish along the leading edge of the remnant gust front.

    ..Kerr.. 05/29/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!vdSSUBEA3Ll7TZNMhc6aHaiVCTsYX8-1OEWTX0GSIOn9wgMGxwM8PFY8nV04OIVdUtm0SNT7$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 33840239 34250220 33230147 32030275 32630384 33030283
    33390268 33840239=20

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