• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0742

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed May 26 03:11:40 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 260311
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 260310=20
    TXZ000-OKZ000-260415-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0742
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1010 PM CDT Tue May 25 2021

    Areas affected...west Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 204...

    Valid 260310Z - 260415Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 204
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Threat for isolated large hail and downburst winds will
    persist next couple hours across portions of west TX. WW 204 is
    scheduled to expire at 04Z, but a local extension might be needed
    for a portion of the WW.

    DISCUSSION...Storms continue developing along the east-west oriented
    boundary across the northern TX Panhandle with some backbuilding
    noted with the westernmost storm. These storms remain organized as
    supercells with hail in excess of 2.5 inches recently reported. The
    surface layer is stabilizing, and convective inhibition is
    increasing. However, forcing associated with a strengthening
    southerly low-level jet interacting with the boundary might help to
    sustain these storms for another 1-2 hours.=20

    Farther south, a cluster of widely scattered storms persist in the
    area between Lubbock and Abilene. Tendency has been for these storms
    to expand northeastward along an outflow boundary, but general trend
    has been for most of this activity to weaken slightly. It is
    probable that at least a couple of storms will persist beyond 04Z,
    especially the activity just south of Abilene that appears to be
    more organized.

    ..Dial.. 05/26/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!scbcG6pOn3DComPDrlW3qakbneNfBPuU0Vg9-m_M6IDnqJ3WNa6F_8ErESGUCVDzhNrBFlWL$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

    LAT...LON 32049921 31710010 32530100 34490158 35490194 36480040
    34369946 33209934 32049921=20



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