• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0727

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue May 25 00:34:00 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 250033
    SPC MCD 250033=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 0727
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0733 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

    Areas affected...Parts of central Kansas to extreme southern

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 250033Z - 250130Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

    SUMMARY...Storms are moving out of WW 200 with some potential for
    further development to the east this evening. There does remain some uncertainty with regard to storm coverage, but a WW may be needed in
    the next hour.

    DISCUSSION...With convection now moving towards the edge of Tornado
    Watch 200, a downstream WW may be needed in the next hour. The
    strongest storm currently is in Trego County moving east. There is
    at least some possibility that additional development may occur as
    the low-level jet increases modestly this evening across central
    Kansas. Shear becomes weaker with eastward extent and upper-level
    support is also relatively weak. Should storms persist/develop,
    large hail and damaging wind gusts would be the primary threats.

    ..Wendt/Edwards.. 05/25/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!unipNrTcKfEJGobyAYCgTgC01fJwQnvTZYK392Y2Cxg6s878vLjCsnR6FR-fbG1X-ZXa5BtC$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 38840075 39919978 40169954 40409927 40319850 40279817
    39709801 38939806 38439856 38319928 38389997 38840075=20

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