• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0716

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon May 24 00:33:23 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 240033
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 240032=20
    OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-240230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0716
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0732 PM CDT Sun May 23 2021

    Areas affected...Northeast New Mexico...northwest Texas Panhandle...southeastern Colorado...southwestern Kansas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 198...

    Valid 240032Z - 240230Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 198
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Despite a relative lull in convection over the past hour
    or so, some additional isolated storms may develop along the
    retreating dryline. Large hail would likely be the primary threat.

    DISCUSSION...With the main mid-level ascent north of the region and
    lifting northeast, storm coverage has remained limited. Mid-level
    flow is expected to weaken some with time as well. However, an
    increase in 850 mb wind into the westward retreating dryline may
    promote additional isolated thunderstorm development later this
    evening. The 00Z AMA sounding shows mid-level lapse rates that would
    support some threat for large hail. Low-level shear will increase,
    but storm organization potential seems likely to diminish with time
    making the threat for a tornado minimal.

    ..Wendt.. 05/24/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!qpJv1-a9Wzjr7JnlrQqRQjxpUpgRM8Txra5tBsGkBwVGLKiFDc-1oW0K6lCm6NAlQVBOs8wv$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DDC...LUB...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

    LAT...LON 35290439 37370323 38080283 38140213 37460173 36420184
    35220216 34590272 34560317 34490368 34530413 35290439=20



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