• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0707

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun May 23 01:21:46 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 230121
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 230121=20
    TXZ000-230215-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0707
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0821 PM CDT Sat May 22 2021

    Areas affected...DFW Vicinity

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 230121Z - 230215Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...A brief tornado is possible for the next 1-2 hours near
    DFW. No WW is expected for this conditional, short-duration threat.

    DISCUSSION...A couple of stronger updrafts have developed southeast
    of the DFW metro. This activity and a somewhat favorable low-level
    wind profile are associated with an MCV in central Texas. TDAL shows
    around 100 m2/s2 SRH on its VWP. These showers/storms have seen
    lightning activity dwindle with time, but low-level rotation has
    seen a small uptick recently. While the tornado threat is still
    quite low, a brief spin-up could occur within the next hour or two
    before storm depth/intensity lessens with increasing low-level
    stabilization.

    ..Wendt/Dial.. 05/23/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!tCqm6tKhLNK7Q4wm3-gZvoV8r3jG8hB8AlqaJcGPrSBM6-0mDD370nnv9qT-4Nj1cCP2kT1B$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FWD...

    LAT...LON 33069776 33369747 32909629 32279616 31949670 32089721
    32709787 33069776=20



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