• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0646

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon May 17 03:47:05 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 170347
    SPC MCD 170346=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 0646
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1046 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

    Areas affected...northwest Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 179...180...

    Valid 170346Z - 170445Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 179, 180

    SUMMARY...Storms developing through northwest Texas will continue to
    pose a threat for damaging wind and large hail through 05Z.

    DISCUSSION...Overall trend has been for storms moving southeast and
    entering northwest TX to weaken. Another cluster of more discrete
    cells is moving northward, and the outflow from these two clusters
    should merge by 0430Z. Some intensification may occur, at least
    temporarily, during the merger with damaging wind and large hail
    remaining the primary threats. After the merger, storms might
    reorganize and continue developing southeast along a consolidated
    outflow boundary. However, uncertainty exists regarding how severe
    storms will be, especially given weak forcing aloft and increasing
    convective inhibition with respect to near surface-based parcels.

    ..Dial.. 05/17/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!ukAwuqYqLKroPwz0bwPyn-NM-A9B5PcXOpCyK91DOhKBUVDznxYWeYu7pPJJ0fdP0nsg_lro$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 34440027 33569872 32949937 33150062 33880103 34440027=20

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