Mesoscale Discussion 0633
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1040 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021
Areas affected...western through southern Kansas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 176...
Valid 160340Z - 160515Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 176
SUMMARY...Storms will continue to pose a threat for isolated large
hail and locally strong wind gusts over western through central and
southern KS through 05Z followed by a gradual weakening trend.
DISCUSSION...Widely scattered to scattered storms continue
developing within an evolving warm advection regime. Latest VWP data
show the low-level jet has strengthened to 40 kt, and this should
support additional storms the next couple of hours. The atmosphere
is moderately unstable with 1500 J/kg MUCAPE. However, winds aloft
are relatively weak indicating storms will remain primarily
multicell in character, and also suggests the large hail threat with
any given updraft will be brief. A few instances of locally strong
wind gusts are also possible within the stronger cores.
= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at firstname.lastname@example.org and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1621136492-52354-1519--