• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0631

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun May 16 02:09:58 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 160209
    SPC MCD 160209=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 0631
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0909 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021

    Areas affected...west Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 172...

    Valid 160209Z - 160345Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 172

    SUMMARY...Threat for isolated damaging wind and large hail will
    persist across the remainder of WW 172 in western TX next couple
    hours, after which the threat is expected to diminish. Another WW is
    not anticipated after 04Z, but current WW can be locally extended if

    DISCUSSION...A broken line of storms continue moving slowly east
    from the western TX Panhandle southward through western TX.
    Strongest storms are in the Lubbock CWA while the storms farther
    north have shown a weakening trend. A strengthening southerly
    low-level jet may help to maintain storms farther east into west TX
    next few hours where the atmosphere remains moderately unstable.
    However, a stabilizing boundary layer and relatively weak mid-level
    flow suggest the overall severe threat should gradually diminish
    toward late evening.

    ..Dial.. 05/16/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!qqx2pfxB5iWLAE2j5mnHgyE_O1vcnKjB__nXoooTYC-9fhX9VlzUo1vxp9dm_HudgOIB4NMu$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 32950218 34760261 36560246 36860159 36450101 34300103
    33260103 32950218=20

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