• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0630

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun May 16 01:54:59 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 160154
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 160154=20
    KSZ000-COZ000-160300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0630
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0854 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021

    Areas affected...southeast Colorado through southwest Kansas

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 175...

    Valid 160154Z - 160300Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 175 continues.

    SUMMARY...Isolated large hail, downburst winds and a brief tornado
    remain possible across southeast Colorado through southwest Kansas,
    but a gradual weakening trend is expected to commence, especially
    after 03Z.

    DISCUSSION...Small storm clusters continue moving slowly northeast
    through southeast CO and near the southeast CO/KS border. Some
    rotation was previously observed with storms that interacted with
    the stationary boundary across southeast CO where a tornado was
    reported. A brief tornado remains possible next hour or so, but
    primary threat appears to be isolated large hail and downburst
    winds. A strengthening low-level jet might maintain a small storm
    cluster or two into southwest KS this evening. However, weak flow
    aloft and increasing convective inhibition associated with the onset
    of nocturnal cooling suggest the severe threat should begin to wane
    by 04Z.

    ..Dial.. 05/16/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!tRCwBNJvnyV19KYRqrnYrcOui60TTNNGMsO7IXlJRjAfP6OVE_bJoBF71SDZ13SaHa6_rU_r$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...

    LAT...LON 37150233 37680279 38340338 38580261 38230175 37430120
    37150233=20



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