• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0583

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon May 10 22:07:50 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 102207
    SPC MCD 102207=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 0583
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0507 PM CDT Mon May 10 2021

    Areas affected...Portions of central and east-central North Carolina

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 163...

    Valid 102207Z - 102300Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 163

    SUMMARY...Isolated large hail and damaging wind gusts are possible
    for the next few hours across portions of central and east-central
    North Carolina.

    DISCUSSION...Storms along and near a cold front moving through North
    Carolina have produced occasional large hail and damaging wind gusts
    thus far. Expect this isolated threat to continue for a few more
    hours before instability decreases further after sunset. A dearth of
    moisture has limited MLCAPE to around 500 to 750 J/kg in the region,
    but strong shear has allowed for enough storm organization for some
    stronger convection and a few supercell structures. The primary
    limiting factor to a greater severe threat is the rapid southward
    movement of the cold front which has undercut many updrafts thus
    far. This continued southward movement of the cold front and a
    cooling boundary layer after sunset should limit the severe weather
    threat by late evening with a few damaging wind gusts and isolated
    large hail possible in the next few hours.

    ..Bentley.. 05/10/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!vF891ThhKAar87tG1nQ2dK0eeDvxt-TpqiPmH7OPoOv0Sk1rKTvJhFbBO6khngR6mu_2kVAu$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 35787927 36117831 36167753 35927702 35637700 35167748
    35047800 35507906 35787927=20

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