• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0583

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon May 10 22:07:50 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 102207
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 102207=20
    NCZ000-102300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0583
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0507 PM CDT Mon May 10 2021

    Areas affected...Portions of central and east-central North Carolina

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 163...

    Valid 102207Z - 102300Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 163
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Isolated large hail and damaging wind gusts are possible
    for the next few hours across portions of central and east-central
    North Carolina.

    DISCUSSION...Storms along and near a cold front moving through North
    Carolina have produced occasional large hail and damaging wind gusts
    thus far. Expect this isolated threat to continue for a few more
    hours before instability decreases further after sunset. A dearth of
    moisture has limited MLCAPE to around 500 to 750 J/kg in the region,
    but strong shear has allowed for enough storm organization for some
    stronger convection and a few supercell structures. The primary
    limiting factor to a greater severe threat is the rapid southward
    movement of the cold front which has undercut many updrafts thus
    far. This continued southward movement of the cold front and a
    cooling boundary layer after sunset should limit the severe weather
    threat by late evening with a few damaging wind gusts and isolated
    large hail possible in the next few hours.

    ..Bentley.. 05/10/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!vF891ThhKAar87tG1nQ2dK0eeDvxt-TpqiPmH7OPoOv0Sk1rKTvJhFbBO6khngR6mu_2kVAu$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...

    LAT...LON 35787927 36117831 36167753 35927702 35637700 35167748
    35047800 35507906 35787927=20



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