• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0512

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue May 4 02:11:34 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 040211
    SPC MCD 040210=20

    Mesoscale Discussion 0512
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0910 PM CDT Mon May 03 2021

    Areas affected...Portions of west-central TX

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134...

    Valid 040210Z - 040345Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134

    SUMMARY...The potential for very large (2 to 3 inch) hail should
    continue in the short term with a robust supercell moving eastward.
    Severe wind gusts around 60-65 mph may also occur.

    DISCUSSION...A long-lived supercell which recently produced baseball
    sized hail (2.75") and a measured 61 mph wind gust in Fisher County
    TX will likely continue eastward across west-central TX over the
    next couple of hours. Even though this storm will remain
    post-frontal, steep mid-level lapse rates and increasing low-level
    moisture with eastward extent will likely support continued storm
    intensity, with MUCAPE of 1000-2000 J/kg present downstream.
    Isolated very large hail will this supercell will remain the primary
    concern in the short term, but severe wind gusts may also occur
    given the favorable velocity signature from KDYX.

    ..Gleason.. 05/04/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!tLCZbMyQP6NKL31YdCZNezj64Ye-BUOB5ZAl-5gj3vhHr2rEuJuxSDOYgO0Hs8AGc2GjTRQX$=
    for graphic product...


    LAT...LON 32320058 32860058 32919994 33259991 33239808 32629822
    32309875 32270018 32320058=20

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