Mesoscale Discussion 0512
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0910 PM CDT Mon May 03 2021
Areas affected...Portions of west-central TX
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134...
Valid 040210Z - 040345Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134
SUMMARY...The potential for very large (2 to 3 inch) hail should
continue in the short term with a robust supercell moving eastward.
Severe wind gusts around 60-65 mph may also occur.
DISCUSSION...A long-lived supercell which recently produced baseball
sized hail (2.75") and a measured 61 mph wind gust in Fisher County
TX will likely continue eastward across west-central TX over the
next couple of hours. Even though this storm will remain
post-frontal, steep mid-level lapse rates and increasing low-level
moisture with eastward extent will likely support continued storm
intensity, with MUCAPE of 1000-2000 J/kg present downstream.
Isolated very large hail will this supercell will remain the primary
concern in the short term, but severe wind gusts may also occur
given the favorable velocity signature from KDYX.
= = =
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at firstname.lastname@example.org and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. ------------=_1620094364-1996-5877--