• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0495

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon May 3 19:06:29 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 031906
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 031905=20
    GAZ000-ALZ000-032000-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0495
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0205 PM CDT Mon May 03 2021

    Areas affected...central through north central Georgia

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 127...

    Valid 031905Z - 032000Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 127 continues.

    SUMMARY...Tornado watch 127 is scheduled to expire at 20Z. Overall
    tornado threat is not as high as earlier today, and greatest
    short-term threat exists across the eastern third of WW 127.
    Expected tendency is for the tornado threat to gradually decrease
    with time, but a few storms could still produce locally strong wind
    gusts and possibly some hail the remainder of the afternoon.
    Depending on trends, WW 127 might be replaced by a severe
    thunderstorm watch within the next hour.

    DISCUSSION...Low-level winds have been gradually veering during the
    afternoon as the primary low-level jet shifts northeast through the
    Carolinas and into the Middle Atlantic. This has resulted in a
    reduction in size of 0-1 km hodographs and a decrease in overall
    tornado threat over most of north Georgia. However, the boundary
    layer is destabilizing, and widely scattered storms will continue
    developing within a moderately unstable environment where 30-40 kt
    effective bulk shear remains sufficient for some storms to develop
    mid-level updraft rotation. Isolated downbursts and hail should
    become the main threats with any stronger storms developing beyond
    20Z.

    ..Dial.. 05/03/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!rnYosrm4HdvAo0XIgr4ESluWpdhwWeQzWdTNaBso8t2s8uhzZmYoru2LBxTxoCn-kQMJuSZr$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...

    LAT...LON 34078514 34178336 33708297 32728339 32298435 32378498
    33628522 34078514=20



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