• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0479

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun May 2 22:27:26 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 022227
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 022226=20
    KSZ000-NEZ000-022330-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0479
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0526 PM CDT Sun May 02 2021

    Areas affected...Portions of western/central KS

    Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely=20

    Valid 022226Z - 022330Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

    SUMMARY...Severe threat, including the potential for significant
    severe wind gusts, will likely continue to increase early this
    evening. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be issued.

    DISCUSSION...Convection has recently begun to form along a surface
    front in north-central KS as low-level convergence gradually
    increases late this afternoon. Additional robust storm development
    will likely occur/form along the KS/CO border and subsequently
    spread eastward. As this activity encounters increasing low-level
    moisture and rather well mixed airmass, damaging/severe wind gusts
    will likely become the main threat very quickly. Isolated large hail
    may also occur. Given the deeply mixed boundary layer and convection
    likely to focus along the surface front and grow upscale quickly,
    significant severe wind gusts appear possible. A Severe Thunderstorm
    Watch will be issued soon to address this increasing threat.

    ..Gleason/Thompson.. 05/02/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!pBDvjdp4uo_CNSlOHDEkgokQm2mcb5vnKFlZQCW5NTcJnUChh95UXMSb9YUpzPUzLmZfHjQy$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

    LAT...LON 40290201 40299797 37809794 37750198 40290201=20



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