SUMMARY...Severe threat, including the potential for significant
severe wind gusts, will likely continue to increase early this
evening. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be issued.
DISCUSSION...Convection has recently begun to form along a surface
front in north-central KS as low-level convergence gradually
increases late this afternoon. Additional robust storm development
will likely occur/form along the KS/CO border and subsequently
spread eastward. As this activity encounters increasing low-level
moisture and rather well mixed airmass, damaging/severe wind gusts
will likely become the main threat very quickly. Isolated large hail
may also occur. Given the deeply mixed boundary layer and convection
likely to focus along the surface front and grow upscale quickly,
significant severe wind gusts appear possible. A Severe Thunderstorm
Watch will be issued soon to address this increasing threat.
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