• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0397

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Apr 19 01:36:25 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 190136
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 190135=20
    FLZ000-190300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0397
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0835 PM CDT Sun Apr 18 2021

    Areas affected...the central Florida Peninsula.

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 190135Z - 190300Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...A line of storms will cross the Florida Peninsula during
    the late evening/early overnight hours with a threat for isolated
    damaging wind gusts. Current indications are that severe weather
    intensity and coverage will be too limited to need a watch.

    DISCUSSION...A loosely organized line of storms is currently
    approaching the Florida coast west of Tampa. These storms have
    formed ahead of a weak MCV which can be seen from KTBW WSR-88D base reflectivity. This MCV is likely aiding the organization and the
    best strong to isolated severe storm threat will likely remain in
    close proximity to this feature as it crosses the peninsula. In
    addition, some strengthening low-level flow is being observed around
    1km in the KTBW VWP. This may also increase the likelihood of a
    damaging wind gust or two as the line of storms crosses the Florida
    Peninsula.

    ..Bentley/Hart.. 04/19/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!o5KGv9xSWlVSorLDdhBXbtGUQX2In9hYaPE73dOXz2C-_Ep3MTjUcJjKWQ_RJijhznQS5VyF$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...

    LAT...LON 28438282 28698225 29018124 29048083 28358040 27828029
    27538135 27408271 27658282 27898289 28438282=20



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