• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0388

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Apr 15 15:57:01 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 151556
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 151556=20
    TXZ000-151730-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0388
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1056 AM CDT Thu Apr 15 2021

    Areas affected...portions of the Concho Valley and Edwards Plateau
    region of Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 96...

    Valid 151556Z - 151730Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 96
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Risk for primarily large hail continues across WW 96.

    DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows isolated supercells ongoing
    across portions of WW 96 -- including portions of the Concho Valley
    and Edwards Plateau region. Several left splits have occurred --
    supported by a rather long/straight hodograph in the elevated
    cloud-bearing layer.

    The storms are occurring in an area of warm advection north of the
    surface cold front, but with a slight weakening of the southerly
    low-level jet forecast to occur with time, expect storm coverage to
    remain isolated this afternoon.=20=20

    Still, steep lapse rates and the aforementioned/sufficient shear
    will continue to support risk for large hail with any storms which
    do persist.

    ..Goss.. 04/15/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!t_uPIUONE8onuq3GGdsCzi5Sjiv0NivP6YWv6a5C6H7WXBBsy1XodU8Rc8o9UjtpD8Bcf3JS$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...

    LAT...LON 31530070 31590018 31229916 30959872 30129881 29179955
    29129978 29030088 29190121 30010100 30560082 31530070=20



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