• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0364

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Apr 11 03:46:03 2021
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    ACUS11 KWNS 110345
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 110345=20
    NCZ000-SCZ000-110545-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0364
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1045 PM CDT Sat Apr 10 2021

    Areas affected...eastern North Carolina

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 110345Z - 110545Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...Shallow convection may increase in coverage as it moves
    across eastern North Carolina. Isolated strong gusts and/or brief
    regions of low-level rotation cannot be ruled out.

    DISCUSSION...A broken line of showers, perhaps soon to be
    thunderstorms, is currently developing into southern NC, near a
    surface trough. Dewpoints have been rising into the 63-65 F range,
    contributing to up to 500 J/kg MLCAPE.=20

    Minor cooling aloft is expected over the next few hours, and some of
    this convection could eventually produce lightning. If this area of
    convection continues to deepen, it may eventually incorporate the
    200 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH, which may enhance wind gust potential and/or
    low-level rotation.

    ..Jewell/Grams.. 04/11/2021

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!ucHd_eE67jdpKS4_tAaVBvp-F1Z0oLvdZ4YloYZuHkxLup0ew3IWA0z6HRjWvoq6H-9NeMN_$=
    for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

    LAT...LON 33797852 34187884 34627890 35157917 35457937 35757932
    36057887 36177819 36187757 35997690 35717655 35147629
    34567649 34637682 34457738 34187772 33837790 33797852=20



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